Assassin grade·Warbird Collection
Red Bear Shotgun (Factory New)
Red Bear Shotgun is a Assassin-grade decorated weapon from Warbird Collection. Ten compatible Commando inputs from this collection give a 33.33% chance of this item, one of 3 possible results. This guide keeps recipes and quotes specific to Factory New.
Factory New prices and trade-up condition
This page looks up Red Bear Shotgun (Factory New), keeping Non-Strange and Strange quotes separate. It never substitutes a price from a different wear. Wear changes the market and compatible recipe, not the collection’s grade-based output probabilities.
To target Factory New outcomes from Warbird Collection, use Factory New inputs from that collection. Inputs from another collection do not change this collection’s wear. Calculator links below carry Factory New and backpack.tf pricing mode.
Red Bear Shotgun (Factory New) prices
A buy order is what a buyer offers you; a sell listing is what you pay. These are saved observations, not reserved stock. Unusual variants are excluded; a quality option does not guarantee market availability. How to compare buy/sell prices and convert keys to refined.
Steam pricing is temporarily paused. Backpack.tf wear-bearing prices have limited coverage; other wears never borrow a Factory New quote. Calculator links preserve the selected wear and use backpack.tf where exact quotes are available.
backpack.tf: Requesting a price check…
Steam: Steam pricing is temporarily paused. Prices use backpack.tf only.
| Market | Highest eligible buy order | Lowest eligible sell listing |
|---|---|---|
| backpack.tfClean bot quotes · keys / refined | Last saved: 14 keys + 5.22 refBuy order quote stale — awaiting refresh | —Sell listing scan pending |
Saved data reloads every 30 seconds. Each quote’s timestamp shows its actual check time. Queued checks are not completed checks, and expired prices remain reference-only.
Explore Red Bear Shotgun wear conditions
Steam pricing is temporarily paused. Prices use backpack.tf only. Exact wear coverage on backpack.tf is limited. Open a wear page for its matching recipe and any available backpack.tf quotes.
Planning a Red Bear Shotgun (Factory New) trade-up
Warbird Collection has 3 Assassin outcomes. A Commando input from this collection contributes 3.33% to the chance of this specific item. Repeating one input name or mixing different names within the same tier does not change that share.
| Inputs from this collection per 10-item contract | 1 contract | 5 contracts | 10 contracts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 of 10 | 33.33% | 86.83% | 98.27% |
| 5 of 10 | 16.67% | 59.81% | 83.85% |
| 1 of 10 | 3.33% | 15.59% | 28.75% |
These are theoretical, independent attempts with an unchanged recipe, not forecasts or case-opening odds. Five contracts consume 50 inputs; ten consume 100. Other inputs must be compatible and come from other collections. Use Factory New inputs from this collection for the Factory New target. All ten inputs must be Non-Strange and the same grade. A higher chance of this item is not necessarily a higher chance of profit.
Buy Red Bear Shotgun (Factory New) directly or attempt a trade-up?
Compare the target’s eligible sell listing with the total cost of ten compatible inputs. A trade-up buys a chance at every possible result—not just Red Bear Shotgun. Evaluate all 3 outputs from this collection, plus any outputs introduced by mixing collections. Use eligible backpack.tf buy orders for estimated resale proceeds; an asking price is not an instant cash-out price.
Missing or stale output quotes mean profitability is unconfirmed, not that the output is worth zero. A saved listing also does not prove that ten copies are available. Check timestamps, quality, exact wear, and stock before spending.
How to trade up to Red Bear Shotgun (Factory New)
Ten compatible Commando inputs from Warbird Collection give a 33.33% chance of Red Bear Shotgun: one of 3 equally likely Assassin outputs. Mix the input items below, keeping Strange and Non-Strange separate.
With five inputs from this collection in a ten-item mixed-collection contract, its collection share is 50%, so Red Bear Shotgun's probability becomes 16.67%. These are trade-up odds, not case-opening odds.
For Red Bear Shotgun (Factory New), use Factory New inputs from this collection. Every input below uses Factory New wear. Keep all ten items Non-Strange; Strange and Non-Strange cannot share a contract.
Compatible Factory New Commando inputs
What can Red Bear Shotgun (Factory New) trade up into?
Ten compatible Factory New Assassin items from Warbird Collection produce one of 2 Factory New Elite outputs, each with 50.00% probability. You can use ten copies of Red Bear Shotgun (Factory New) or mix Factory New items from its tier, keeping all ten Non-Strange.
Killer Bee Scattergun (Factory New)
Elite · Factory New · 50.00%
Warhawk Rocket Launcher (Factory New)
Elite · Factory New · 50.00%
Calculator links open research recipes, not purchases. Availability, compatible variants, fees and price changes affect results; positive expected value does not guarantee profit.