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TF2 collection guide · Saved market observations

Gargoyle Collection Trade-Up Guide

Gargoyle Collection contains 19 items across 4 grades, from Mercenary to Elite. Its highest-grade items include Arthropod's Aspect, Catastrophic Companions. Compare the Assassin-to-Elite trade-up below, including the individual odds of reaching each Elite output.

19Items
3Routes
LoadingDataset state
Data snapshot . Loading the dataset does not recheck every listing; individual quotes can still be missing or stale.

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Gargoyle Collection: choose your target tier

Start with the item you want, then choose the grade immediately below it. Gargoyle Collection offers 3 adjacent-grade routes. Each row below assumes ten eligible inputs from this collection, with one result per contract; these are not case-opening probabilities.

10 Mercenary inputs → 1 Commando output

Choose among 8 input item names. Each of the 6 outputs has a 16.67% chance. With five inputs from this collection and five compatible inputs from another collection, each of these targets has a 8.33% chance.

Commando targets

Compare Mercenary inputs ↓Open this tier in calculator →

10 Commando inputs → 1 Assassin output

Choose among 6 input item names. Each of the 3 outputs has a 33.33% chance. With five inputs from this collection and five compatible inputs from another collection, each of these targets has a 16.67% chance.

Assassin targets

Compare Commando inputs ↓Open this tier in calculator →

10 Assassin inputs → 1 Elite output

Choose among 3 input item names. Each of the 2 outputs has a 50.00% chance. With five inputs from this collection and five compatible inputs from another collection, each of these targets has a 25.00% chance.

Elite targets

Compare Assassin inputs ↓Open this tier in calculator →

Buying a higher-priced input in the same grade does not improve these single-collection odds. Price and quality still matter for cost: Strange and Non-Strange cannot be mixed. Read the odds guide or learn how expected profit differs from a guaranteed return.

Gargoyle Case

Container information · Series #98

Gargoyle Case

Gargoyle Case contains items from the Gargoyle Collection. The case was introduced on 2015-10-27. Requires a Gargoyle Key to open.

View official Steam contents and case details ↗

All Gargoyle Collection Items

Base collection items, grouped by grade. Special Unusual effects and global bonus drops are separate; see the official case listing for current details.

Assumed base-drop model: 80% Mercenary, 16% Commando, 3.2% Assassin, 0.8% Elite. Each grade is split equally among its items. These user-specified assumptions exclude special drops and are separate from trade-up odds. Displayed percentages are rounded; calculations use full precision.

Grade Odds · case opening

Mercenary8 items

80.00%

Commando6 items

16.00%

Assassin3 items

3.20%

Elite2 items

0.80%

Individual Item Odds · case opening

Mercenary Grade
  • B'aaarrgh-n-Britches

    Mercenary · Chance: 10.00%

  • El Patron

    Mercenary · Chance: 10.00%

  • Prehistoric Pullover

    Mercenary · Chance: 10.00%

  • Roboot

    Mercenary · Chance: 10.00%

  • Smokey Sombrero

    Mercenary · Chance: 10.00%

  • The Face of Mercy

    Mercenary · Chance: 10.00%

  • The Hellmet

    Mercenary · Chance: 10.00%

  • Thrilling Tracksuit

    Mercenary · Chance: 10.00%

Commando Grade
  • B'aaarrgh-n-Bicorne

    Commando · Chance: 2.67%

  • Death Racer's Helmet

    Commando · Chance: 2.67%

  • Duck Billed Hatypus

    Commando · Chance: 2.67%

  • El Caballero

    Commando · Chance: 2.67%

  • Iron Lung

    Commando · Chance: 2.67%

  • Neptune's Nightmare

    Commando · Chance: 2.67%

Assassin Grade
  • Crusader's Getup

    Assassin · Chance: 1.07%

  • Dead'er Alive

    Assassin · Chance: 1.07%

  • Grim Tweeter

    Assassin · Chance: 1.07%

Elite Grade
  • Arthropod's Aspect

    Elite · Chance: 0.40%

  • Catastrophic Companions

    Elite · Chance: 0.40%

Available trade-up routes

Lowest clean sell listing in; highest clean buy order out.

Gargoyle Collection route

Mercenary→Commando

Load non-StrangeLoad Strange

Non-Strange

unique
10× cost4 keys + 47.08 ref
Expected value1 key + 52.35 ref
Expected P/L−2 keys − 59.06 ref
ROI-61.7%
Win chance0%
Cheapest quoted inputB'aaarrgh-n-Britches30.44 ref each

Strange

strange
10× cost7 keys + 2.99 ref
Expected value5 keys + 11.61 ref
Expected P/L−1 key − 55.71 ref
ROI-26.5%
Win chance17%
Cheapest quoted inputSmokey Sombrero45.33 ref each

Eligible Mercenary inputs

ItemNon-Strange askStrange askMarkets
B'aaarrgh-n-Britches30.44 refChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed
El Patron44.22 refChecks when viewed1 key + 19.33 refChecks when viewed
Prehistoric Pullover44.88 refChecks when viewed1 key + 32.22 refChecks when viewed
Roboot1 key + 5.55 refChecks when viewed1 key + 50.44 refChecks when viewed
Smokey SombreroSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed45.33 refChecks when viewed
The Face of MercySell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed48.00 refChecks when viewed
The HellmetSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed50.66 refChecks when viewed
Thrilling TracksuitSell listing quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewed1 key + 21.44 refChecks when viewed

Possible Commando outputs

Trade-up odds for 10 inputs from this collection—not case-opening odds.

ItemOddsNon-Strange bidStrange bidMarkets
B'aaarrgh-n-Bicorne16.7%1 key + 16.33 refChecks when viewed4 keys + 41.00 refChecks when viewed
Death Racer's Helmet16.7%1 key + 30.11 refChecks when viewed4 keys + 42.00 refChecks when viewed
Duck Billed Hatypus16.7%1 key + 56.44 refChecks when viewed7 keys + 20.66 refChecks when viewed
El Caballero16.7%1 key + 20.00 refChecks when viewed4 keys + 9.55 refChecks when viewed
Iron Lung16.7%3 keys + 27.88 refChecks when viewed5 keys + 12.22 refChecks when viewed
Neptune's Nightmare16.7%1 key + 34.66 refChecks when viewed5 keys + 8.55 refChecks when viewed

Gargoyle Collection route

Commando→Assassin

Load non-StrangeLoad Strange

Non-Strange

unique
10× cost13 keys + 10.31 ref
Expected value9 keys + 49.18 ref
Expected P/L−3 keys − 25.46 ref
ROI-25.8%
Win chance0%
Cheapest quoted inputB'aaarrgh-n-Bicorne1 key + 20.33 ref each

Strange

strange
10× cost50 keys + 26.60 ref
Expected value46 keys + 57.55 ref
Expected P/L−3 keys − 33.38 ref
ROI-7.0%
Win chance33%
Cheapest quoted inputDeath Racer's Helmet5 keys + 2.66 ref each

Eligible Commando inputs

ItemNon-Strange askStrange askMarkets
B'aaarrgh-n-Bicorne1 key + 20.33 refChecks when viewed5 keys + 10.66 refChecks when viewed
Death Racer's Helmet1 key + 30.22 refChecks when viewed5 keys + 2.66 refChecks when viewed
Duck Billed Hatypus1 key + 56.55 refChecks when viewed7 keys + 34.66 refChecks when viewed
El Caballero1 key + 21.33 refChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed
Iron LungSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed7 keys + 29.66 refChecks when viewed
Neptune's Nightmare1 key + 36.88 refChecks when viewed7 keys + 9.88 refChecks when viewed

Possible Assassin outputs

Trade-up odds for 10 inputs from this collection—not case-opening odds.

ItemOddsNon-Strange bidStrange bidMarkets
Crusader's Getup33.3%10 keys + 11.11 refChecks when viewed46 keys + 6.88 refChecks when viewed
Dead'er Alive33.3%9 keys + 32.22 refChecks when viewed43 keys + 39.77 refChecks when viewed
Grim Tweeter33.3%9 keys + 39.88 refChecks when viewed50 keys + 61.66 refChecks when viewed

Gargoyle Collection route

Assassin→Elite

Load non-StrangeLoad Strange

Non-Strange

unique
10× cost98 keys + 6.96 ref
Expected valueIncomplete quotes
Expected P/LIncomplete quotes
ROIIncomplete quotes
Win chanceIncomplete quotes
Cheapest quoted inputGrim Tweeter9 keys + 52.16 ref each

Strange

strange
10× costIncomplete quotes
Expected valueIncomplete quotes
Expected P/LIncomplete quotes
ROIIncomplete quotes
Win chanceIncomplete quotes
Cheapest quoted inputNo eligible quoteQuote unavailable each

Eligible Assassin inputs

ItemNon-Strange askStrange askMarkets
Crusader's Getup10 keys + 22.00 refChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed
Dead'er Alive9 keys + 57.22 refChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed
Grim Tweeter9 keys + 52.16 refChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed

Possible Elite outputs

Trade-up odds for 10 inputs from this collection—not case-opening odds.

ItemOddsNon-Strange bidStrange bidMarkets
Arthropod's Aspect50.0%7 keys + 46.22 refChecks when viewed24 keys + 1.00 refChecks when viewed
Catastrophic Companions50.0%Buy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewedBuy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewed

How to trade up to Gargoyle Collection items

How to trade up to B'aaarrgh-n-Bicorne

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Gargoyle Collection for a 16.67% chance of B'aaarrgh-n-Bicorne, one of 6 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 8.33%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate B'aaarrgh-n-Bicorne trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Death Racer's Helmet

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Gargoyle Collection for a 16.67% chance of Death Racer's Helmet, one of 6 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 8.33%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Death Racer's Helmet trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Duck Billed Hatypus

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Gargoyle Collection for a 16.67% chance of Duck Billed Hatypus, one of 6 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 8.33%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Duck Billed Hatypus trade-up odds →

How to trade up to El Caballero

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Gargoyle Collection for a 16.67% chance of El Caballero, one of 6 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 8.33%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate El Caballero trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Iron Lung

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Gargoyle Collection for a 16.67% chance of Iron Lung, one of 6 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 8.33%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Iron Lung trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Neptune's Nightmare

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Gargoyle Collection for a 16.67% chance of Neptune's Nightmare, one of 6 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 8.33%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Neptune's Nightmare trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Crusader's Getup

Use ten eligible Commando inputs from Gargoyle Collection for a 33.33% chance of Crusader's Getup, one of 3 Assassin outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 16.67%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Crusader's Getup trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Dead'er Alive

Use ten eligible Commando inputs from Gargoyle Collection for a 33.33% chance of Dead'er Alive, one of 3 Assassin outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 16.67%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Dead'er Alive trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Grim Tweeter

Use ten eligible Commando inputs from Gargoyle Collection for a 33.33% chance of Grim Tweeter, one of 3 Assassin outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 16.67%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Grim Tweeter trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Arthropod's Aspect

Use ten eligible Assassin inputs from Gargoyle Collection for a 50.00% chance of Arthropod's Aspect, one of 2 Elite outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 25.00%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Arthropod's Aspect trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Catastrophic Companions

Use ten eligible Assassin inputs from Gargoyle Collection for a 50.00% chance of Catastrophic Companions, one of 2 Elite outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 25.00%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Catastrophic Companions trade-up odds →

How Gargoyle Collection odds work

With ten Gargoyle Collection inputs, every next-rarity item shown in the applicable output table has an equal chance. The number of input item names does not change those single-collection odds.

In a mixed contract, each individual input contributes 10% to its collection. Five inputs from this collection therefore assign 50% of the contract to this collection, split evenly among its possible outputs.

Strange and non-Strange items cannot be combined in one contract. Their prices and profitability can differ substantially, so this page calculates them separately.

Market depth, price movement and seller availability are not modeled. Always open the marketplace links and confirm that ten clean, eligible inputs can actually be purchased before trading.

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