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TF2 collection guide · Saved market observations

Unleash the Beast Cosmetic Collection Trade-Up Guide

Unleash the Beast Cosmetic Collection contains 20 items across 4 grades, from Mercenary to Elite. Its highest-grade items include The Aztec Warrior, The Slithering Scarf. Compare the Assassin-to-Elite trade-up below, including the individual odds of reaching each Elite output.

20Items
3Routes
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Data snapshot . Loading the dataset does not recheck every listing; individual quotes can still be missing or stale.

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Unleash the Beast Cosmetic Collection: choose your target tier

Start with the item you want, then choose the grade immediately below it. Unleash the Beast Cosmetic Collection offers 3 adjacent-grade routes. Each row below assumes ten eligible inputs from this collection, with one result per contract; these are not case-opening probabilities.

10 Mercenary inputs → 1 Commando output

Choose among 10 input item names. Each of the 5 outputs has a 20.00% chance. With five inputs from this collection and five compatible inputs from another collection, each of these targets has a 10.00% chance.

Commando targets

Compare Mercenary inputs ↓Open this tier in calculator →

10 Commando inputs → 1 Assassin output

Choose among 5 input item names. Each of the 3 outputs has a 33.33% chance. With five inputs from this collection and five compatible inputs from another collection, each of these targets has a 16.67% chance.

Assassin targets

Compare Commando inputs ↓Open this tier in calculator →

10 Assassin inputs → 1 Elite output

Choose among 3 input item names. Each of the 2 outputs has a 50.00% chance. With five inputs from this collection and five compatible inputs from another collection, each of these targets has a 25.00% chance.

Elite targets

Compare Assassin inputs ↓Open this tier in calculator →

Buying a higher-priced input in the same grade does not improve these single-collection odds. Price and quality still matter for cost: Strange and Non-Strange cannot be mixed. Read the odds guide or learn how expected profit differs from a guaranteed return.

Unleash the Beast Cosmetic Case

Container information · Series #108

Unleash the Beast Cosmetic Case

Unleash the Beast Cosmetic Case contains items from the Unleash the Beast Cosmetic Collection. The case was introduced on 2017-09-13. Requires a Unleash the Beast Cosmetic Key to open.

View official Steam contents and case details ↗

All Unleash the Beast Cosmetic Collection Items

Base collection items, grouped by grade. Special Unusual effects and global bonus drops are separate; see the official case listing for current details.

Assumed base-drop model: 80% Mercenary, 16% Commando, 3.2% Assassin, 0.8% Elite. Each grade is split equally among its items. These user-specified assumptions exclude special drops and are separate from trade-up odds. Displayed percentages are rounded; calculations use full precision.

Grade Odds · case opening

Mercenary10 items

80.00%

Commando5 items

16.00%

Assassin3 items

3.20%

Elite2 items

0.80%

Individual Item Odds · case opening

Mercenary Grade
  • Aloha Apparel

    Mercenary · Chance: 8.00%

  • Battle Boonie

    Mercenary · Chance: 8.00%

  • Commando Elite

    Mercenary · Chance: 8.00%

  • Deity's Dress

    Mercenary · Chance: 8.00%

  • Fat Man's Field Cap

    Mercenary · Chance: 8.00%

  • Heavy Harness

    Mercenary · Chance: 8.00%

  • Sharp Chest Pain

    Mercenary · Chance: 8.00%

  • Siberian Tigerstripe

    Mercenary · Chance: 8.00%

  • The Cammy Jammies

    Mercenary · Chance: 8.00%

  • Vitals Vest

    Mercenary · Chance: 8.00%

Commando Grade
  • Feathered Fiend

    Commando · Chance: 3.20%

  • Pocket Saxton

    Commando · Chance: 3.20%

  • The Conspicuous Camouflage

    Commando · Chance: 3.20%

  • The Crit Cloak

    Commando · Chance: 3.20%

  • The Hot Huaraches

    Commando · Chance: 3.20%

Assassin Grade
  • Bananades

    Assassin · Chance: 1.07%

  • Jungle Wreath

    Assassin · Chance: 1.07%

  • Sacrificial Stone

    Assassin · Chance: 1.07%

Elite Grade
  • The Aztec Warrior

    Elite · Chance: 0.40%

  • The Slithering Scarf

    Elite · Chance: 0.40%

Available trade-up routes

Lowest clean sell listing in; highest clean buy order out.

Unleash the Beast Cosmetic Collection route

Mercenary→Commando

Load non-StrangeLoad Strange

Non-Strange

unique
10× cost28.80 ref
Expected value9.46 ref
Expected P/L−19.34 ref
ROI-67.1%
Win chance0%
Cheapest quoted inputFat Man's Field Cap2.88 ref each

Strange

strange
10× cost47.70 ref
Expected value36.91 ref
Expected P/L−10.79 ref
ROI-22.6%
Win chance20%
Cheapest quoted inputFat Man's Field Cap4.77 ref each

Eligible Mercenary inputs

ItemNon-Strange askStrange askMarkets
Aloha Apparel35.55 refChecks when viewed1 key + 45.88 refChecks when viewed
Battle Boonie3.22 refChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed
Commando EliteSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed5.44 refChecks when viewed
Deity's Dress4.61 refChecks when viewed21.11 refChecks when viewed
Fat Man's Field Cap2.88 refChecks when viewed4.77 refChecks when viewed
Heavy Harness2.88 refChecks when viewed5.33 refChecks when viewed
Sharp Chest Pain3.33 refChecks when viewed11.33 refChecks when viewed
Siberian Tigerstripe9.44 refChecks when viewed26.11 refChecks when viewed
The Cammy Jammies18.11 refChecks when viewed43.00 refChecks when viewed
Vitals Vest6.11 refChecks when viewed20.00 refChecks when viewed

Possible Commando outputs

Trade-up odds for 10 inputs from this collection—not case-opening odds.

ItemOddsNon-Strange bidStrange bidMarkets
Feathered Fiend20.0%4.22 refChecks when viewed23.44 refChecks when viewed
Pocket Saxton20.0%3.77 refChecks when viewed25.33 refChecks when viewed
The Conspicuous Camouflage20.0%19.33 refChecks when viewed1 key + 0.55 refChecks when viewed
The Crit Cloak20.0%7.33 refChecks when viewed27.44 refChecks when viewed
The Hot Huaraches20.0%12.66 refChecks when viewed43.44 refChecks when viewed

Unleash the Beast Cosmetic Collection route

Commando→Assassin

Load non-StrangeLoad Strange

Non-Strange

unique
10× cost40.00 ref
Expected value33.81 ref
Expected P/L−6.19 ref
ROI-15.5%
Win chance33%
Cheapest quoted inputPocket Saxton4.00 ref each

Strange

strange
10× cost3 keys + 42.51 ref
Expected valueIncomplete quotes
Expected P/LIncomplete quotes
ROIIncomplete quotes
Win chanceIncomplete quotes
Cheapest quoted inputFeathered Fiend23.55 ref each

Eligible Commando inputs

ItemNon-Strange askStrange askMarkets
Feathered FiendSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed23.55 refChecks when viewed
Pocket Saxton4.00 refChecks when viewed32.44 refChecks when viewed
The Conspicuous Camouflage19.55 refChecks when viewed1 key + 2.00 refChecks when viewed
The Crit Cloak7.88 refChecks when viewed28.66 refChecks when viewed
The Hot Huaraches12.77 refChecks when viewed44.00 refChecks when viewed

Possible Assassin outputs

Trade-up odds for 10 inputs from this collection—not case-opening odds.

ItemOddsNon-Strange bidStrange bidMarkets
Bananades33.3%27.33 refChecks when viewed2 keys + 7.55 refChecks when viewed
Jungle Wreath33.3%1 key + 0.11 refChecks when viewed6 keys + 4.44 refChecks when viewed
Sacrificial Stone33.3%9.66 refChecks when viewedBuy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewed

Unleash the Beast Cosmetic Collection route

Assassin→Elite

Load non-StrangeLoad Strange

Non-Strange

unique
10× cost4 keys + 35.98 ref
Expected value1 key + 39.44 ref
Expected P/L−2 keys − 60.87 ref
ROI-64.6%
Win chance0%
Cheapest quoted inputBananades29.33 ref each

Strange

strange
10× cost21 keys + 43.37 ref
Expected value12 keys + 17.27 ref
Expected P/L−9 keys − 26.10 ref
ROI-43.4%
Win chance0%
Cheapest quoted inputBananades2 keys + 10.77 ref each

Eligible Assassin inputs

ItemNon-Strange askStrange askMarkets
Bananades29.33 refChecks when viewed2 keys + 10.77 refChecks when viewed
Jungle Wreath1 key + 1.11 refChecks when viewed6 keys + 49.77 refChecks when viewed
Sacrificial StoneSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed

Possible Elite outputs

Trade-up odds for 10 inputs from this collection—not case-opening odds.

ItemOddsNon-Strange bidStrange bidMarkets
The Aztec Warrior50.0%1 key + 6.33 refChecks when viewed6 keys + 5.33 refChecks when viewed
The Slithering Scarf50.0%2 keys + 8.22 refChecks when viewed18 keys + 29.22 refChecks when viewed

How to trade up to Unleash the Beast Cosmetic Collection items

How to trade up to Feathered Fiend

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Unleash the Beast Cosmetic Collection for a 20.00% chance of Feathered Fiend, one of 5 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 10.00%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Feathered Fiend trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Pocket Saxton

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Unleash the Beast Cosmetic Collection for a 20.00% chance of Pocket Saxton, one of 5 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 10.00%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Pocket Saxton trade-up odds →

How to trade up to The Conspicuous Camouflage

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Unleash the Beast Cosmetic Collection for a 20.00% chance of The Conspicuous Camouflage, one of 5 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 10.00%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate The Conspicuous Camouflage trade-up odds →

How to trade up to The Crit Cloak

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Unleash the Beast Cosmetic Collection for a 20.00% chance of The Crit Cloak, one of 5 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 10.00%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate The Crit Cloak trade-up odds →

How to trade up to The Hot Huaraches

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Unleash the Beast Cosmetic Collection for a 20.00% chance of The Hot Huaraches, one of 5 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 10.00%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate The Hot Huaraches trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Bananades

Use ten eligible Commando inputs from Unleash the Beast Cosmetic Collection for a 33.33% chance of Bananades, one of 3 Assassin outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 16.67%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Bananades trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Jungle Wreath

Use ten eligible Commando inputs from Unleash the Beast Cosmetic Collection for a 33.33% chance of Jungle Wreath, one of 3 Assassin outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 16.67%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Jungle Wreath trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Sacrificial Stone

Use ten eligible Commando inputs from Unleash the Beast Cosmetic Collection for a 33.33% chance of Sacrificial Stone, one of 3 Assassin outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 16.67%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Sacrificial Stone trade-up odds →

How to trade up to The Aztec Warrior

Use ten eligible Assassin inputs from Unleash the Beast Cosmetic Collection for a 50.00% chance of The Aztec Warrior, one of 2 Elite outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 25.00%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate The Aztec Warrior trade-up odds →

How to trade up to The Slithering Scarf

Use ten eligible Assassin inputs from Unleash the Beast Cosmetic Collection for a 50.00% chance of The Slithering Scarf, one of 2 Elite outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 25.00%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate The Slithering Scarf trade-up odds →

How Unleash the Beast Cosmetic Collection odds work

With ten Unleash the Beast Cosmetic Collection inputs, every next-rarity item shown in the applicable output table has an equal chance. The number of input item names does not change those single-collection odds.

In a mixed contract, each individual input contributes 10% to its collection. Five inputs from this collection therefore assign 50% of the contract to this collection, split evenly among its possible outputs.

Strange and non-Strange items cannot be combined in one contract. Their prices and profitability can differ substantially, so this page calculates them separately.

Market depth, price movement and seller availability are not modeled. Always open the marketplace links and confirm that ten clean, eligible inputs can actually be purchased before trading.

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