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TF2 collection guide · Saved market observations

Powerhouse Collection Trade-Up Guide

Powerhouse Collection contains 15 decorated weapons across 4 grades, from Mercenary to Elite. Its highest-grade items include Liquid Asset Stickybomb Launcher, Thunderbolt Sniper Rifle. Compare the Assassin-to-Elite trade-up below, including the individual odds of reaching each Elite output.

15Items
3Routes
LoadingDataset state
Data snapshot . Loading the dataset does not recheck every listing; individual quotes can still be missing or stale.

Steam pricing is temporarily paused. Prices use backpack.tf only.

Powerhouse Collection: choose your target tier

Start with the item you want, then choose the grade immediately below it. Powerhouse Collection offers 3 adjacent-grade routes. Each row below assumes ten eligible inputs from this collection, with one result per contract; these are not case-opening probabilities.

10 Mercenary inputs → 1 Commando output

Choose among 5 input item names. Each of the 5 outputs has a 20.00% chance. With five inputs from this collection and five compatible inputs from another collection, each of these targets has a 10.00% chance.

Commando targets

Compare Mercenary inputs ↓Open this tier in calculator →

10 Commando inputs → 1 Assassin output

Choose among 5 input item names. Each of the 3 outputs has a 33.33% chance. With five inputs from this collection and five compatible inputs from another collection, each of these targets has a 16.67% chance.

Assassin targets

Compare Commando inputs ↓Open this tier in calculator →

10 Assassin inputs → 1 Elite output

Choose among 3 input item names. Each of the 2 outputs has a 50.00% chance. With five inputs from this collection and five compatible inputs from another collection, each of these targets has a 25.00% chance.

Elite targets

Compare Assassin inputs ↓Open this tier in calculator →

Buying a higher-priced input in the same grade does not improve these single-collection odds. Price and quality still matter for cost: Strange and Non-Strange cannot be mixed, and this guide’s market comparison uses Factory New wear. Read the odds guide or learn how expected profit differs from a guaranteed return.

The Powerhouse Weapons Case

Container information · Series #94

The Powerhouse Weapons Case

The Powerhouse Weapons Case contains items from the Powerhouse Collection. The case was introduced on 2015-06-25. Requires a Gun Mettle Key to open.

View official Steam contents and case details ↗

All Powerhouse Collection Items

Base collection items, grouped by grade. Special Unusual effects and global bonus drops are separate; see the official case listing for current details.

Assumed base-drop model: 80% Mercenary, 16% Commando, 3.2% Assassin, 0.8% Elite. Each grade is split equally among its items. These user-specified assumptions exclude special drops and are separate from trade-up odds. Displayed percentages are rounded; calculations use full precision.

Grade Odds · case opening

Mercenary5 items

80.00%

Commando5 items

16.00%

Assassin3 items

3.20%

Elite2 items

0.80%

Individual Item Odds · case opening

Mercenary Grade
  • Aqua Marine Rocket Launcher

    Mercenary · Chance: 16.00%

  • Brick House Minigun

    Mercenary · Chance: 16.00%

  • Lightning Rod Shotgun

    Mercenary · Chance: 16.00%

  • Low Profile SMG

    Mercenary · Chance: 16.00%

  • Turbine Torcher Flame Thrower

    Mercenary · Chance: 16.00%

Commando Grade
  • Black Dahlia Pistol

    Commando · Chance: 3.20%

  • Dead Reckoner Revolver

    Commando · Chance: 3.20%

  • Flash Fryer Flame Thrower

    Commando · Chance: 3.20%

  • Sandstone Special Pistol

    Commando · Chance: 3.20%

  • Spark of Life Medi Gun

    Commando · Chance: 3.20%

Assassin Grade
  • Current Event Scattergun

    Assassin · Chance: 1.07%

  • Pink Elephant Stickybomb Launcher

    Assassin · Chance: 1.07%

  • Shell Shocker Rocket Launcher

    Assassin · Chance: 1.07%

Elite Grade
  • Liquid Asset Stickybomb Launcher

    Elite · Chance: 0.40%

  • Thunderbolt Sniper Rifle

    Elite · Chance: 0.40%

War Paint and decorated-weapon quotes must match both quality and wear. This guide compares Factory New only; select Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn or Battle Scarred in the calculator. Steam pricing is temporarily paused. Backpack.tf wear-specific coverage is limited; missing quotes remain unavailable. A collection’s output wear follows that collection’s inputs, not another collection’s wear.

Available trade-up routes

Lowest clean sell listing in; highest clean buy order out.

Powerhouse Collection route

Mercenary→Commando

Load non-StrangeLoad Strange

Non-Strange

unique
10× costIncomplete quotes
Expected valueIncomplete quotes
Expected P/LIncomplete quotes
ROIIncomplete quotes
Win chanceIncomplete quotes
Cheapest quoted inputNo eligible quoteQuote unavailable each

Strange

strange
10× costIncomplete quotes
Expected valueIncomplete quotes
Expected P/LIncomplete quotes
ROIIncomplete quotes
Win chanceIncomplete quotes
Cheapest quoted inputNo eligible quoteQuote unavailable each

Eligible Mercenary inputs

ItemNon-Strange askStrange askMarkets
Aqua Marine Rocket LauncherSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed
Brick House MinigunNo eligible sell listingChecks when viewedNo eligible sell listingChecks when viewed
Lightning Rod ShotgunNo eligible sell listingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed
Low Profile SMGSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed
Turbine Torcher Flame ThrowerSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed

Possible Commando outputs

Trade-up odds for 10 inputs from this collection—not case-opening odds.

ItemOddsNon-Strange bidStrange bidMarkets
Black Dahlia Pistol20.0%Buy order scan pendingChecks when viewedBuy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewed
Dead Reckoner Revolver20.0%30.00 refChecks when viewed8 keys + 22.55 refChecks when viewed
Flash Fryer Flame Thrower20.0%Buy order scan pendingChecks when viewedBuy order scan pendingChecks when viewed
Sandstone Special Pistol20.0%No eligible buy orderChecks when viewed12 keys + 1.33 refChecks when viewed
Spark of Life Medi Gun20.0%38.00 refChecks when viewedBuy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewed

Powerhouse Collection route

Commando→Assassin

Load non-StrangeLoad Strange

Non-Strange

unique
10× cost14 keys + 8.18 ref
Expected valueIncomplete quotes
Expected P/LIncomplete quotes
ROIIncomplete quotes
Win chanceIncomplete quotes
Cheapest quoted inputSandstone Special Pistol1 key + 26.55 ref each

Strange

strange
10× costIncomplete quotes
Expected valueIncomplete quotes
Expected P/LIncomplete quotes
ROIIncomplete quotes
Win chanceIncomplete quotes
Cheapest quoted inputNo eligible quoteQuote unavailable each

Eligible Commando inputs

ItemNon-Strange askStrange askMarkets
Black Dahlia PistolSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed
Dead Reckoner RevolverNo eligible sell listingChecks when viewedNo eligible sell listingChecks when viewed
Flash Fryer Flame ThrowerSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed
Sandstone Special Pistol1 key + 26.55 refChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed
Spark of Life Medi GunNo eligible sell listingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed

Possible Assassin outputs

Trade-up odds for 10 inputs from this collection—not case-opening odds.

ItemOddsNon-Strange bidStrange bidMarkets
Current Event Scattergun33.3%Buy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewed185 keysChecks when viewed
Pink Elephant Stickybomb Launcher33.3%Buy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewed88 keys + 0.77 refChecks when viewed
Shell Shocker Rocket Launcher33.3%Buy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewedBuy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewed

Powerhouse Collection route

Assassin→Elite

Load non-StrangeLoad Strange

Non-Strange

unique
10× costIncomplete quotes
Expected valueIncomplete quotes
Expected P/LIncomplete quotes
ROIIncomplete quotes
Win chanceIncomplete quotes
Cheapest quoted inputNo eligible quoteQuote unavailable each

Strange

strange
10× costIncomplete quotes
Expected valueIncomplete quotes
Expected P/LIncomplete quotes
ROIIncomplete quotes
Win chanceIncomplete quotes
Cheapest quoted inputNo eligible quoteQuote unavailable each

Eligible Assassin inputs

ItemNon-Strange askStrange askMarkets
Current Event ScattergunSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedNo eligible sell listingChecks when viewed
Pink Elephant Stickybomb LauncherSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedNo eligible sell listingChecks when viewed
Shell Shocker Rocket LauncherSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed

Possible Elite outputs

Trade-up odds for 10 inputs from this collection—not case-opening odds.

ItemOddsNon-Strange bidStrange bidMarkets
Liquid Asset Stickybomb Launcher50.0%Buy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewed575 keysChecks when viewed
Thunderbolt Sniper Rifle50.0%Buy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewed326 keysChecks when viewed

How to trade up to Powerhouse Collection items

How to trade up to Black Dahlia Pistol

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Powerhouse Collection for a 20.00% chance of Black Dahlia Pistol, one of 5 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 10.00%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Black Dahlia Pistol trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Dead Reckoner Revolver

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Powerhouse Collection for a 20.00% chance of Dead Reckoner Revolver, one of 5 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 10.00%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Dead Reckoner Revolver trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Flash Fryer Flame Thrower

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Powerhouse Collection for a 20.00% chance of Flash Fryer Flame Thrower, one of 5 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 10.00%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Flash Fryer Flame Thrower trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Sandstone Special Pistol

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Powerhouse Collection for a 20.00% chance of Sandstone Special Pistol, one of 5 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 10.00%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Sandstone Special Pistol trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Spark of Life Medi Gun

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Powerhouse Collection for a 20.00% chance of Spark of Life Medi Gun, one of 5 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 10.00%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Spark of Life Medi Gun trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Current Event Scattergun

Use ten eligible Commando inputs from Powerhouse Collection for a 33.33% chance of Current Event Scattergun, one of 3 Assassin outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 16.67%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Current Event Scattergun trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Pink Elephant Stickybomb Launcher

Use ten eligible Commando inputs from Powerhouse Collection for a 33.33% chance of Pink Elephant Stickybomb Launcher, one of 3 Assassin outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 16.67%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Pink Elephant Stickybomb Launcher trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Shell Shocker Rocket Launcher

Use ten eligible Commando inputs from Powerhouse Collection for a 33.33% chance of Shell Shocker Rocket Launcher, one of 3 Assassin outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 16.67%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Shell Shocker Rocket Launcher trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Liquid Asset Stickybomb Launcher

Use ten eligible Assassin inputs from Powerhouse Collection for a 50.00% chance of Liquid Asset Stickybomb Launcher, one of 2 Elite outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 25.00%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Liquid Asset Stickybomb Launcher trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Thunderbolt Sniper Rifle

Use ten eligible Assassin inputs from Powerhouse Collection for a 50.00% chance of Thunderbolt Sniper Rifle, one of 2 Elite outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 25.00%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Thunderbolt Sniper Rifle trade-up odds →

How Powerhouse Collection odds work

With ten Powerhouse Collection inputs, every next-rarity item shown in the applicable output table has an equal chance. The number of input item names does not change those single-collection odds.

In a mixed contract, each individual input contributes 10% to its collection. Five inputs from this collection therefore assign 50% of the contract to this collection, split evenly among its possible outputs.

Strange and non-Strange items cannot be combined in one contract. Their prices and profitability can differ substantially, so this page calculates them separately.

Market depth, price movement and seller availability are not modeled. Always open the marketplace links and confirm that ten clean, eligible inputs can actually be purchased before trading.

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