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TF2 collection guide · Saved market observations

Pyroland Collection Trade-Up Guide

Pyroland Collection contains 25 decorated weapons across 4 grades, from Mercenary to Elite. Its highest-grade items include Rainbow Flame Thrower, Rainbow Grenade Launcher, Rainbow Sniper Rifle. Compare the Assassin-to-Elite trade-up below, including the individual odds of reaching each Elite output.

25Items
3Routes
LoadingDataset state
Data snapshot . Loading the dataset does not recheck every listing; individual quotes can still be missing or stale.

Steam pricing is temporarily paused. Prices use backpack.tf only.

Pyroland Collection: choose your target tier

Start with the item you want, then choose the grade immediately below it. Pyroland Collection offers 3 adjacent-grade routes. Each row below assumes ten eligible inputs from this collection, with one result per contract; these are not case-opening probabilities.

10 Mercenary inputs → 1 Commando output

Choose among 11 input item names. Each of the 7 outputs has a 14.29% chance. With five inputs from this collection and five compatible inputs from another collection, each of these targets has a 7.14% chance.

Commando targets

Compare Mercenary inputs ↓Open this tier in calculator →

10 Commando inputs → 1 Assassin output

Choose among 7 input item names. Each of the 4 outputs has a 25.00% chance. With five inputs from this collection and five compatible inputs from another collection, each of these targets has a 12.50% chance.

Assassin targets

Compare Commando inputs ↓Open this tier in calculator →

10 Assassin inputs → 1 Elite output

Choose among 4 input item names. Each of the 3 outputs has a 33.33% chance. With five inputs from this collection and five compatible inputs from another collection, each of these targets has a 16.67% chance.

Elite targets

Compare Assassin inputs ↓Open this tier in calculator →

Buying a higher-priced input in the same grade does not improve these single-collection odds. Price and quality still matter for cost: Strange and Non-Strange cannot be mixed, and this guide’s market comparison uses Factory New wear. Read the odds guide or learn how expected profit differs from a guaranteed return.

Pyroland Weapons Case

Container information · Series #99

Pyroland Weapons Case

Pyroland Weapons Case contains items from the Pyroland Collection. The case was introduced on 2015-12-13. Requires a Tough Break Key to open.

View official Steam contents and case details ↗

All Pyroland Collection Items

Base collection items, grouped by grade. Special Unusual effects and global bonus drops are separate; see the official case listing for current details.

Assumed base-drop model: 80% Mercenary, 16% Commando, 3.2% Assassin, 0.8% Elite. Each grade is split equally among its items. These user-specified assumptions exclude special drops and are separate from trade-up odds. Displayed percentages are rounded; calculations use full precision.

Grade Odds · case opening

Mercenary11 items

80.00%

Commando7 items

16.00%

Assassin4 items

3.20%

Elite3 items

0.80%

Individual Item Odds · case opening

Mercenary Grade
  • Blue Mew SMG

    Mercenary · Chance: 7.27%

  • Brain Candy Knife

    Mercenary · Chance: 7.27%

  • Brain Candy Minigun

    Mercenary · Chance: 7.27%

  • Brain Candy Pistol

    Mercenary · Chance: 7.27%

  • Brain Candy Rocket Launcher

    Mercenary · Chance: 7.27%

  • Flower Power Medi Gun

    Mercenary · Chance: 7.27%

  • Flower Power Revolver

    Mercenary · Chance: 7.27%

  • Flower Power Scattergun

    Mercenary · Chance: 7.27%

  • Flower Power Shotgun

    Mercenary · Chance: 7.27%

  • Shot to Hell Pistol

    Mercenary · Chance: 7.27%

  • Stabbed to Hell Knife

    Mercenary · Chance: 7.27%

Commando Grade
  • Blue Mew Knife

    Commando · Chance: 2.29%

  • Blue Mew Pistol

    Commando · Chance: 2.29%

  • Blue Mew Rocket Launcher

    Commando · Chance: 2.29%

  • Blue Mew Scattergun

    Commando · Chance: 2.29%

  • Mister Cuddles Minigun

    Commando · Chance: 2.29%

  • Shot to Hell Scattergun

    Commando · Chance: 2.29%

  • Torqued to Hell Wrench

    Commando · Chance: 2.29%

Assassin Grade
  • Balloonicorn Flame Thrower

    Assassin · Chance: 0.80%

  • Balloonicorn Sniper Rifle

    Assassin · Chance: 0.80%

  • Sweet Dreams Grenade Launcher

    Assassin · Chance: 0.80%

  • Sweet Dreams Stickybomb Launcher

    Assassin · Chance: 0.80%

Elite Grade
  • Rainbow Flame Thrower

    Elite · Chance: 0.27%

  • Rainbow Grenade Launcher

    Elite · Chance: 0.27%

  • Rainbow Sniper Rifle

    Elite · Chance: 0.27%

War Paint and decorated-weapon quotes must match both quality and wear. This guide compares Factory New only; select Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn or Battle Scarred in the calculator. Steam pricing is temporarily paused. Backpack.tf wear-specific coverage is limited; missing quotes remain unavailable. A collection’s output wear follows that collection’s inputs, not another collection’s wear.

Available trade-up routes

Lowest clean sell listing in; highest clean buy order out.

Pyroland Collection route

Mercenary→Commando

Load non-StrangeLoad Strange

Non-Strange

unique
10× costIncomplete quotes
Expected valueIncomplete quotes
Expected P/LIncomplete quotes
ROIIncomplete quotes
Win chanceIncomplete quotes
Cheapest quoted inputNo eligible quoteQuote unavailable each

Strange

strange
10× costIncomplete quotes
Expected valueIncomplete quotes
Expected P/LIncomplete quotes
ROIIncomplete quotes
Win chanceIncomplete quotes
Cheapest quoted inputNo eligible quoteQuote unavailable each

Eligible Mercenary inputs

ItemNon-Strange askStrange askMarkets
Blue Mew SMGSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed
Brain Candy KnifeSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedNo eligible sell listingChecks when viewed
Brain Candy MinigunNo eligible sell listingChecks when viewedNo eligible sell listingChecks when viewed
Brain Candy PistolSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedNo eligible sell listingChecks when viewed
Brain Candy Rocket LauncherNo eligible sell listingChecks when viewedNo eligible sell listingChecks when viewed
Flower Power Medi GunNo eligible sell listingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed
Flower Power RevolverNo eligible sell listingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed
Flower Power ScattergunNo eligible sell listingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed
Flower Power ShotgunNo eligible sell listingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed
Shot to Hell PistolNo eligible sell listingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed
Stabbed to Hell KnifeNo eligible sell listingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed

Possible Commando outputs

Trade-up odds for 10 inputs from this collection—not case-opening odds.

ItemOddsNon-Strange bidStrange bidMarkets
Blue Mew Knife14.3%Buy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewed27 keys + 0.66 refChecks when viewed
Blue Mew Pistol14.3%Buy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewed23 keys + 20.55 refChecks when viewed
Blue Mew Rocket Launcher14.3%Buy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewed50 keysChecks when viewed
Blue Mew Scattergun14.3%Buy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewed46 keys + 28.77 refChecks when viewed
Mister Cuddles Minigun14.3%Buy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewedBuy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewed
Shot to Hell Scattergun14.3%Buy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewedBuy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewed
Torqued to Hell Wrench14.3%Buy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewedBuy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewed

Pyroland Collection route

Commando→Assassin

Load non-StrangeLoad Strange

Non-Strange

unique
10× costIncomplete quotes
Expected valueIncomplete quotes
Expected P/LIncomplete quotes
ROIIncomplete quotes
Win chanceIncomplete quotes
Cheapest quoted inputNo eligible quoteQuote unavailable each

Strange

strange
10× costIncomplete quotes
Expected valueIncomplete quotes
Expected P/LIncomplete quotes
ROIIncomplete quotes
Win chanceIncomplete quotes
Cheapest quoted inputNo eligible quoteQuote unavailable each

Eligible Commando inputs

ItemNon-Strange askStrange askMarkets
Blue Mew KnifeSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedNo eligible sell listingChecks when viewed
Blue Mew PistolSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed
Blue Mew Rocket LauncherSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedNo eligible sell listingChecks when viewed
Blue Mew ScattergunSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed
Mister Cuddles MinigunSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed
Shot to Hell ScattergunSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed
Torqued to Hell WrenchSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed

Possible Assassin outputs

Trade-up odds for 10 inputs from this collection—not case-opening odds.

ItemOddsNon-Strange bidStrange bidMarkets
Balloonicorn Flame Thrower25.0%Buy order scan pendingChecks when viewedBuy order scan pendingChecks when viewed
Balloonicorn Sniper Rifle25.0%Buy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewed350 keysChecks when viewed
Sweet Dreams Grenade Launcher25.0%Buy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewedBuy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewed
Sweet Dreams Stickybomb Launcher25.0%12 keys + 7.00 refChecks when viewedBuy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewed

Pyroland Collection route

Assassin→Elite

Load non-StrangeLoad Strange

Non-Strange

unique
10× costIncomplete quotes
Expected valueIncomplete quotes
Expected P/LIncomplete quotes
ROIIncomplete quotes
Win chanceIncomplete quotes
Cheapest quoted inputNo eligible quoteQuote unavailable each

Strange

strange
10× costIncomplete quotes
Expected valueIncomplete quotes
Expected P/LIncomplete quotes
ROIIncomplete quotes
Win chanceIncomplete quotes
Cheapest quoted inputNo eligible quoteQuote unavailable each

Eligible Assassin inputs

ItemNon-Strange askStrange askMarkets
Balloonicorn Flame ThrowerSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed
Balloonicorn Sniper RifleSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedNo eligible sell listingChecks when viewed
Sweet Dreams Grenade LauncherSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed
Sweet Dreams Stickybomb LauncherNo eligible sell listingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed

Possible Elite outputs

Trade-up odds for 10 inputs from this collection—not case-opening odds.

ItemOddsNon-Strange bidStrange bidMarkets
Rainbow Flame Thrower33.3%Buy order scan pendingChecks when viewedBuy order scan pendingChecks when viewed
Rainbow Grenade Launcher33.3%Buy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewedBuy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewed
Rainbow Sniper Rifle33.3%Buy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewedBuy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewed

How to trade up to Pyroland Collection items

How to trade up to Blue Mew Knife

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Pyroland Collection for a 14.29% chance of Blue Mew Knife, one of 7 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 7.14%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Blue Mew Knife trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Blue Mew Pistol

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Pyroland Collection for a 14.29% chance of Blue Mew Pistol, one of 7 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 7.14%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Blue Mew Pistol trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Blue Mew Rocket Launcher

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Pyroland Collection for a 14.29% chance of Blue Mew Rocket Launcher, one of 7 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 7.14%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Blue Mew Rocket Launcher trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Blue Mew Scattergun

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Pyroland Collection for a 14.29% chance of Blue Mew Scattergun, one of 7 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 7.14%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Blue Mew Scattergun trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Mister Cuddles Minigun

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Pyroland Collection for a 14.29% chance of Mister Cuddles Minigun, one of 7 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 7.14%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Mister Cuddles Minigun trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Shot to Hell Scattergun

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Pyroland Collection for a 14.29% chance of Shot to Hell Scattergun, one of 7 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 7.14%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Shot to Hell Scattergun trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Torqued to Hell Wrench

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Pyroland Collection for a 14.29% chance of Torqued to Hell Wrench, one of 7 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 7.14%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Torqued to Hell Wrench trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Balloonicorn Flame Thrower

Use ten eligible Commando inputs from Pyroland Collection for a 25.00% chance of Balloonicorn Flame Thrower, one of 4 Assassin outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 12.50%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Balloonicorn Flame Thrower trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Balloonicorn Sniper Rifle

Use ten eligible Commando inputs from Pyroland Collection for a 25.00% chance of Balloonicorn Sniper Rifle, one of 4 Assassin outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 12.50%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Balloonicorn Sniper Rifle trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Sweet Dreams Grenade Launcher

Use ten eligible Commando inputs from Pyroland Collection for a 25.00% chance of Sweet Dreams Grenade Launcher, one of 4 Assassin outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 12.50%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Sweet Dreams Grenade Launcher trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Sweet Dreams Stickybomb Launcher

Use ten eligible Commando inputs from Pyroland Collection for a 25.00% chance of Sweet Dreams Stickybomb Launcher, one of 4 Assassin outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 12.50%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Sweet Dreams Stickybomb Launcher trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Rainbow Flame Thrower

Use ten eligible Assassin inputs from Pyroland Collection for a 33.33% chance of Rainbow Flame Thrower, one of 3 Elite outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 16.67%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Rainbow Flame Thrower trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Rainbow Grenade Launcher

Use ten eligible Assassin inputs from Pyroland Collection for a 33.33% chance of Rainbow Grenade Launcher, one of 3 Elite outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 16.67%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Rainbow Grenade Launcher trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Rainbow Sniper Rifle

Use ten eligible Assassin inputs from Pyroland Collection for a 33.33% chance of Rainbow Sniper Rifle, one of 3 Elite outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 16.67%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Rainbow Sniper Rifle trade-up odds →

How Pyroland Collection odds work

With ten Pyroland Collection inputs, every next-rarity item shown in the applicable output table has an equal chance. The number of input item names does not change those single-collection odds.

In a mixed contract, each individual input contributes 10% to its collection. Five inputs from this collection therefore assign 50% of the contract to this collection, split evenly among its possible outputs.

Strange and non-Strange items cannot be combined in one contract. Their prices and profitability can differ substantially, so this page calculates them separately.

Market depth, price movement and seller availability are not modeled. Always open the marketplace links and confirm that ten clean, eligible inputs can actually be purchased before trading.

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