How are Teufort Collection trade-up odds calculated?

In a single-collection contract, every recorded item at the next rarity has an equal chance. In a mixed contract, each input contributes ten percent probability to its collection, then that collection share is divided equally among its possible outputs.

Can Strange and non-Strange items be mixed in one TF2 trade-up?

No. A contract must use either all Strange inputs or all non-Strange inputs. This page displays both markets separately.

TF2 collection guide · Saved market observations

Teufort Collection Trade-Up Guide

Teufort Collection contains 15 decorated weapons across 4 grades, from Civilian to Commando. Its highest-grade items include Bovine Blazemaker Flame Thrower, War Room Minigun. Compare the Mercenary-to-Commando trade-up below, including the individual odds of reaching each Commando output.

15Items

3Routes

ReferenceDataset state

Data snapshot Tue, 03 Nov 2026 12:08:18 GMT. Loading the dataset does not recheck every listing; individual quotes can still be missing or stale.

Steam pricing is temporarily paused. Prices use backpack.tf only.

Teufort Collection: choose your target tier

Start with the item you want, then choose the grade immediately below it. Teufort Collection offers 3 adjacent-grade routes. Each row below assumes ten eligible inputs from this collection, with one result per contract; these are not case-opening probabilities.

10 Civilian inputs → 1 Freelance output

Choose among 6 input item names. Each of the 4 outputs has a 25.00% chance. With five inputs from this collection and five compatible inputs from another collection, each of these targets has a 12.50% chance.

Freelance targets

Compare Civilian inputs ↓

10 Freelance inputs → 1 Mercenary output

Choose among 4 input item names. Each of the 3 outputs has a 33.33% chance. With five inputs from this collection and five compatible inputs from another collection, each of these targets has a 16.67% chance.

Mercenary targets

Compare Freelance inputs ↓

10 Mercenary inputs → 1 Commando output

Choose among 3 input item names. Each of the 2 outputs has a 50.00% chance. With five inputs from this collection and five compatible inputs from another collection, each of these targets has a 25.00% chance.

Commando targets

Compare Mercenary inputs ↓

Buying a higher-priced input in the same grade does not improve these single-collection odds. Price and quality still matter for cost: Strange and Non-Strange cannot be mixed. Read the odds guide or learn how expected profit differs from a guaranteed return.

Collection information

Teufort Collection

Teufort is a Gun Mettle decorated-weapon collection. Civilian, Freelance and Mercenary tiers lead to the Commando-grade Bovine Blazemaker Flame Thrower and War Room Minigun; there is no Assassin tier in this collection.

View collection reference ↗

All Teufort Collection Items

Base collection items, grouped by grade.

No case-opening odds apply to this non-case collection. See the trade-up tiers below for applicable output odds.

Grades in this collection

Civilian6 items

Freelance4 items

Mercenary3 items

Commando2 items

Collection item list

Civilian Grade

Citizen Pain Minigun
Civilian
Civic Duty Shotgun
Civilian
Civil Servant Medi Gun
Civilian
Local Hero Pistol
Civilian
Mayor Revolver
Civilian
Smalltown Bringdown Rocket Launcher
Civilian

Freelance Grade

Hickory Hole-Puncher Pistol
Freelance
Rooftop Wrangler Stickybomb Launcher
Freelance
Spruce Deuce Scattergun
Freelance
Team Sprayer SMG
Freelance

Mercenary Grade

Bogtrotter Sniper Rifle
Mercenary
Earth, Sky and Fire Flame Thrower
Mercenary
Treadplate Tormenter SMG
Mercenary

Commando Grade

Bovine Blazemaker Flame Thrower
Commando
War Room Minigun
Commando

This non-case collection is a reference guide. Its items are not yet covered by the calculator’s price feed, so no live prices, EV or prefilled contracts are claimed. The grade relationships below describe the catalog, not guaranteed executable trades.

War Paint and decorated-weapon quotes must match both quality and wear. This guide compares Factory New only; select Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn or Battle Scarred in the calculator. Steam pricing is temporarily paused. Backpack.tf wear-specific coverage is limited; missing quotes remain unavailable. A collection’s output wear follows that collection’s inputs, not another collection’s wear.

Available trade-up routes

Lowest clean sell listing in; highest clean buy order out.

Teufort Collection route

Civilian→Freelance

Eligible Civilian inputs

Item	Non-Strange ask	Strange ask
Citizen Pain Minigun	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed
Civic Duty Shotgun	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed
Civil Servant Medi Gun	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed
Local Hero Pistol	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed
Mayor Revolver	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed
Smalltown Bringdown Rocket Launcher	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed

Possible Freelance outputs

Trade-up odds for 10 inputs from this collection—not case-opening odds.

Item	Odds	Non-Strange bid	Strange bid
Hickory Hole-Puncher Pistol	25.0%	Buy order not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Buy order not yet checkedChecks when viewed
Rooftop Wrangler Stickybomb Launcher	25.0%	Buy order not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Buy order not yet checkedChecks when viewed
Spruce Deuce Scattergun	25.0%	Buy order not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Buy order not yet checkedChecks when viewed
Team Sprayer SMG	25.0%	Buy order not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Buy order not yet checkedChecks when viewed

Teufort Collection route

Freelance→Mercenary

Eligible Freelance inputs

Item	Non-Strange ask	Strange ask
Hickory Hole-Puncher Pistol	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed
Rooftop Wrangler Stickybomb Launcher	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed
Spruce Deuce Scattergun	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed
Team Sprayer SMG	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed

Possible Mercenary outputs

Trade-up odds for 10 inputs from this collection—not case-opening odds.

Item	Odds	Non-Strange bid	Strange bid
Bogtrotter Sniper Rifle	33.3%	Buy order not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Buy order not yet checkedChecks when viewed
Earth, Sky and Fire Flame Thrower	33.3%	Buy order not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Buy order not yet checkedChecks when viewed
Treadplate Tormenter SMG	33.3%	Buy order not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Buy order not yet checkedChecks when viewed

Teufort Collection route

Mercenary→Commando

Eligible Mercenary inputs

Item	Non-Strange ask	Strange ask
Bogtrotter Sniper Rifle	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed
Earth, Sky and Fire Flame Thrower	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed
Treadplate Tormenter SMG	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed

Possible Commando outputs

Trade-up odds for 10 inputs from this collection—not case-opening odds.

Item	Odds	Non-Strange bid	Strange bid	Markets
Bovine Blazemaker Flame Thrower	50.0%	Buy order not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Buy order not yet checkedChecks when viewed
War Room Minigun	50.0%	Buy order not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Buy order not yet checkedChecks when viewed

How to trade up to Teufort Collection items

How to trade up to Hickory Hole-Puncher Pistol

Use ten eligible Civilian inputs from Teufort Collection for a 25.00% chance of Hickory Hole-Puncher Pistol, one of 4 Freelance outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 12.50%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

How to trade up to Rooftop Wrangler Stickybomb Launcher

Use ten eligible Civilian inputs from Teufort Collection for a 25.00% chance of Rooftop Wrangler Stickybomb Launcher, one of 4 Freelance outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 12.50%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

How to trade up to Spruce Deuce Scattergun

Use ten eligible Civilian inputs from Teufort Collection for a 25.00% chance of Spruce Deuce Scattergun, one of 4 Freelance outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 12.50%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

How to trade up to Team Sprayer SMG

Use ten eligible Civilian inputs from Teufort Collection for a 25.00% chance of Team Sprayer SMG, one of 4 Freelance outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 12.50%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

How to trade up to Bogtrotter Sniper Rifle

Use ten eligible Freelance inputs from Teufort Collection for a 33.33% chance of Bogtrotter Sniper Rifle, one of 3 Mercenary outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 16.67%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

How to trade up to Earth, Sky and Fire Flame Thrower

Use ten eligible Freelance inputs from Teufort Collection for a 33.33% chance of Earth, Sky and Fire Flame Thrower, one of 3 Mercenary outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 16.67%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

How to trade up to Treadplate Tormenter SMG

Use ten eligible Freelance inputs from Teufort Collection for a 33.33% chance of Treadplate Tormenter SMG, one of 3 Mercenary outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 16.67%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

How to trade up to Bovine Blazemaker Flame Thrower

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Teufort Collection for a 50.00% chance of Bovine Blazemaker Flame Thrower, one of 2 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 25.00%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

How to trade up to War Room Minigun

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Teufort Collection for a 50.00% chance of War Room Minigun, one of 2 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 25.00%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

How Teufort Collection odds work

With ten Teufort Collection inputs, every next-rarity item shown in the applicable output table has an equal chance. The number of input item names does not change those single-collection odds.

In a mixed contract, each individual input contributes 10% to its collection. Five inputs from this collection therefore assign 50% of the contract to this collection, split evenly among its possible outputs.

Strange and non-Strange items cannot be combined in one contract. Their prices and profitability can differ substantially, so this page calculates them separately.

Market depth, price movement and seller availability are not modeled. Always open the marketplace links and confirm that ten clean, eligible inputs can actually be purchased before trading.

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