How are Contract Campaigner Collection trade-up odds calculated?

In a single-collection contract, every recorded item at the next rarity has an equal chance. In a mixed contract, each input contributes ten percent probability to its collection, then that collection share is divided equally among its possible outputs.

Can Strange and non-Strange items be mixed in one TF2 trade-up?

No. A contract must use either all Strange inputs or all non-Strange inputs. This page displays both markets separately.

TF2 collection guide · Saved market observations

Contract Campaigner Collection Trade-Up Guide

Contract Campaigner Collection contains 8 War Paint designs across 4 grades, from Civilian to Commando. Its highest-grade items include Bovine Blazemaker Mk.II War Paint, Dead Reckoner Mk.II War Paint. Compare the Mercenary-to-Commando trade-up below, including the individual odds of reaching each Commando output.

8Items

3Routes

ReferenceDataset state

Data snapshot Tue, 03 Nov 2026 12:08:18 GMT. Loading the dataset does not recheck every listing; individual quotes can still be missing or stale.

Steam pricing is temporarily paused. Prices use backpack.tf only.

Contract Campaigner Collection: choose your target tier

Start with the item you want, then choose the grade immediately below it. Contract Campaigner Collection offers 3 adjacent-grade routes. Each row below assumes ten eligible inputs from this collection, with one result per contract; these are not case-opening probabilities.

10 Civilian inputs → 1 Freelance output

Choose among 2 input item names. Each of the 2 outputs has a 50.00% chance. With five inputs from this collection and five compatible inputs from another collection, each of these targets has a 25.00% chance.

Freelance targets

Compare Civilian inputs ↓

10 Freelance inputs → 1 Mercenary output

Mercenary targets

Compare Freelance inputs ↓

10 Mercenary inputs → 1 Commando output

Commando targets

Compare Mercenary inputs ↓

Buying a higher-priced input in the same grade does not improve these single-collection odds. Price and quality still matter for cost: Strange and Non-Strange cannot be mixed. Read the odds guide or learn how expected profit differs from a guaranteed return.

Collection information

Contract Campaigner Collection

Contract Campaigner contains eight Mk.II War Paint designs, with two at each grade from Civilian to Commando. Bovine Blazemaker Mk.II and Dead Reckoner Mk.II are its highest-grade designs.

View collection reference ↗

All Contract Campaigner Collection Items

Base collection items, grouped by grade.

No case-opening odds apply to this non-case collection. See the trade-up tiers below for applicable output odds.

Grades in this collection

Civilian2 items

Freelance2 items

Mercenary2 items

Commando2 items

Collection item list

Civilian Grade

Nutcracker Mk.II War Paint
Civilian
Smalltown Bringdown Mk.II War Paint
Civilian

Freelance Grade

Iron Wood Mk.II War Paint
Freelance
Macabre Web Mk.II War Paint
Freelance

Mercenary Grade

Backwoods Boomstick Mk.II War Paint
Mercenary
Masked Mender Mk.II War Paint
Mercenary

Commando Grade

Bovine Blazemaker Mk.II War Paint
Commando
Dead Reckoner Mk.II War Paint
Commando

This non-case collection is a reference guide. Its items are not yet covered by the calculator’s price feed, so no live prices, EV or prefilled contracts are claimed. The grade relationships below describe the catalog, not guaranteed executable trades.

War Paint and decorated-weapon quotes must match both quality and wear. This guide compares Factory New only; select Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn or Battle Scarred in the calculator. Steam pricing is temporarily paused. Backpack.tf wear-specific coverage is limited; missing quotes remain unavailable. A collection’s output wear follows that collection’s inputs, not another collection’s wear.

Available trade-up routes

Lowest clean sell listing in; highest clean buy order out.

Contract Campaigner Collection route

Civilian→Freelance

Eligible Civilian inputs

Item	Non-Strange ask	Strange ask	Markets
Nutcracker Mk.II War Paint	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed
Smalltown Bringdown Mk.II War Paint	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed

Possible Freelance outputs

Trade-up odds for 10 inputs from this collection—not case-opening odds.

Item	Odds	Non-Strange bid	Strange bid	Markets
Iron Wood Mk.II War Paint	50.0%	Buy order not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Buy order not yet checkedChecks when viewed
Macabre Web Mk.II War Paint	50.0%	Buy order not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Buy order not yet checkedChecks when viewed

Contract Campaigner Collection route

Freelance→Mercenary

Eligible Freelance inputs

Item	Non-Strange ask	Strange ask	Markets
Iron Wood Mk.II War Paint	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed
Macabre Web Mk.II War Paint	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed

Possible Mercenary outputs

Trade-up odds for 10 inputs from this collection—not case-opening odds.

Item	Odds	Non-Strange bid	Strange bid	Markets
Backwoods Boomstick Mk.II War Paint	50.0%	Buy order not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Buy order not yet checkedChecks when viewed
Masked Mender Mk.II War Paint	50.0%	Buy order not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Buy order not yet checkedChecks when viewed

Contract Campaigner Collection route

Mercenary→Commando

Eligible Mercenary inputs

Item	Non-Strange ask	Strange ask	Markets
Backwoods Boomstick Mk.II War Paint	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed
Masked Mender Mk.II War Paint	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Sell listing not yet checkedChecks when viewed

Possible Commando outputs

Trade-up odds for 10 inputs from this collection—not case-opening odds.

Item	Odds	Non-Strange bid	Strange bid	Markets
Bovine Blazemaker Mk.II War Paint	50.0%	Buy order not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Buy order not yet checkedChecks when viewed
Dead Reckoner Mk.II War Paint	50.0%	Buy order not yet checkedChecks when viewed	Buy order not yet checkedChecks when viewed

How to trade up to Contract Campaigner Collection items

How to trade up to Iron Wood Mk.II War Paint

Use ten eligible Civilian inputs from Contract Campaigner Collection for a 50.00% chance of Iron Wood Mk.II War Paint, one of 2 Freelance outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 25.00%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

How to trade up to Macabre Web Mk.II War Paint

Use ten eligible Civilian inputs from Contract Campaigner Collection for a 50.00% chance of Macabre Web Mk.II War Paint, one of 2 Freelance outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 25.00%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

How to trade up to Backwoods Boomstick Mk.II War Paint

Use ten eligible Freelance inputs from Contract Campaigner Collection for a 50.00% chance of Backwoods Boomstick Mk.II War Paint, one of 2 Mercenary outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 25.00%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

How to trade up to Masked Mender Mk.II War Paint

Use ten eligible Freelance inputs from Contract Campaigner Collection for a 50.00% chance of Masked Mender Mk.II War Paint, one of 2 Mercenary outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 25.00%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

How to trade up to Bovine Blazemaker Mk.II War Paint

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Contract Campaigner Collection for a 50.00% chance of Bovine Blazemaker Mk.II War Paint, one of 2 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 25.00%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

How to trade up to Dead Reckoner Mk.II War Paint

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Contract Campaigner Collection for a 50.00% chance of Dead Reckoner Mk.II War Paint, one of 2 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 25.00%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

How Contract Campaigner Collection odds work

With ten Contract Campaigner Collection inputs, every next-rarity item shown in the applicable output table has an equal chance. The number of input item names does not change those single-collection odds.

In a mixed contract, each individual input contributes 10% to its collection. Five inputs from this collection therefore assign 50% of the contract to this collection, split evenly among its possible outputs.

Strange and non-Strange items cannot be combined in one contract. Their prices and profitability can differ substantially, so this page calculates them separately.

Market depth, price movement and seller availability are not modeled. Always open the marketplace links and confirm that ten clean, eligible inputs can actually be purchased before trading.

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