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Summer 2024 Cosmetics Collection Trade-Up Guide

Summer 2024 Cosmetics Collection contains 23 items across 4 grades, from Mercenary to Elite. Its highest-grade items include Botler 2000, Hazardous Environment Vest. Compare the Assassin-to-Elite trade-up below, including the individual odds of reaching each Elite output.

23Items
3Routes
CheckingPrice state
Data snapshot
Summer 2024 Cosmetic Case

Container information · Series #144

Summer 2024 Cosmetic Case

Summer 2024 Cosmetic Case contains items from the Summer 2024 Cosmetics Collection. The case was introduced on 2024-07-17. Requires a Summer 2024 Cosmetic Key to open.

View official Steam contents and case details ↗

All Summer 2024 Cosmetics Collection Items

Base collection items, grouped by grade. Special Unusual effects and global bonus drops are separate; see the official case listing for current details.

Assumed base-drop model: 80% Mercenary, 16% Commando, 3.2% Assassin, 0.8% Elite. Each grade is split equally among its items. These user-specified assumptions exclude special drops and are separate from trade-up odds. Displayed percentages are rounded; calculations use full precision.

Grade Odds · case opening

Mercenary10 items

80.00%

Commando7 items

16.00%

Assassin4 items

3.20%

Elite2 items

0.80%

Individual Item Odds · case opening

Mercenary Grade
  • Brute's Braces

    Mercenary · Chance: 8.00%

  • Commonwealth Commando

    Mercenary · Chance: 8.00%

  • Daring Dell

    Mercenary · Chance: 8.00%

  • Desk Engineer

    Mercenary · Chance: 8.00%

  • Invisible Flame

    Mercenary · Chance: 8.00%

  • Pathfinder

    Mercenary · Chance: 8.00%

  • The Aimframe

    Mercenary · Chance: 8.00%

  • The Brand Loyalist

    Mercenary · Chance: 8.00%

  • The Vaudeville Visor

    Mercenary · Chance: 8.00%

  • Watchmann's Wetsuit

    Mercenary · Chance: 8.00%

Commando Grade
  • Crook's Cap

    Commando · Chance: 2.29%

  • Justice Johns

    Commando · Chance: 2.29%

  • Scorched Earth Stompers

    Commando · Chance: 2.29%

  • Sneaky Blinder

    Commando · Chance: 2.29%

  • Tanker's Top

    Commando · Chance: 2.29%

  • The Big Star

    Commando · Chance: 2.29%

  • The Tropical Brim

    Commando · Chance: 2.29%

Assassin Grade
  • Control Patrol

    Assassin · Chance: 0.80%

  • Fire Marshal

    Assassin · Chance: 0.80%

  • Free Mann's Fashion

    Assassin · Chance: 0.80%

  • Tuxedo Royale

    Assassin · Chance: 0.80%

Elite Grade
  • Botler 2000

    Elite · Chance: 0.40%

  • Hazardous Environment Vest

    Elite · Chance: 0.40%

Available trade-up routes

Lowest clean sell listing in; highest clean buy order out.

Summer 2024 Cosmetics Collection route

Mercenary→Commando

Load non-StrangeLoad Strange

Non-Strange

unique
10× cost30.50 ref
Expected value25.39 ref
Expected P/L−5.11 ref
ROI-16.7%
Win chance14%
Cheapest quoted inputDaring Dell3.05 ref each

Strange

strange
10× cost38.80 ref
Expected value44.92 ref
Expected P/L+6.12 ref
ROI15.8%
Win chance43%
Cheapest quoted inputDaring Dell3.88 ref each

Eligible Mercenary inputs

ItemNon-Strange askStrange askMarkets
Brute's Braces8.22 ref23.66 ref
Commonwealth Commando4.33 ref8.66 ref
Daring Dell3.05 ref3.88 ref
Desk Engineer7.88 ref17.33 ref
Invisible Flame9.33 ref19.88 ref
Pathfinder17.44 ref35.44 ref
The Aimframe3.22 ref11.11 ref
The Brand Loyalist3.11 ref6.11 ref
The Vaudeville Visor5.22 ref23.66 ref
Watchmann's Wetsuit6.77 ref14.11 ref

Possible Commando outputs

Trade-up odds for 10 inputs from this collection—not case-opening odds.

ItemOddsNon-Strange bidStrange bidMarkets
Crook's Cap14.3%9.11 ref22.44 ref
Justice Johns14.3%24.22 ref44.55 ref
Scorched Earth Stompers14.3%1 key + 28.00 ref1 key + 51.22 ref
Sneaky Blinder14.3%13.44 ref31.22 ref
Tanker's Top14.3%22.66 ref55.88 ref
The Big Star14.3%8.11 ref20.77 ref
The Tropical Brim14.3%7.88 ref24.00 ref

Summer 2024 Cosmetics Collection route

Commando→Assassin

Load non-StrangeLoad Strange

Non-Strange

unique
10× cost1 key + 22.27 ref
Expected value1 key + 36.91 ref
Expected P/L+14.64 ref
ROI16.9%
Win chance50%
Cheapest quoted inputThe Tropical Brim8.66 ref each

Strange

strange
10× cost4 keys + 5.98 ref
Expected value4 keys + 23.11 ref
Expected P/L+17.13 ref
ROI6.5%
Win chance50%
Cheapest quoted inputCrook's Cap26.33 ref each

Eligible Commando inputs

ItemNon-Strange askStrange askMarkets
Crook's Cap9.33 ref26.33 ref
Justice Johns25.44 refNo eligible quote
Scorched Earth Stompers1 key + 34.00 ref2 keys + 32.94 ref
Sneaky Blinder14.77 ref32.66 ref
Tanker's Top22.66 ref1 key + 2.66 ref
The Big Star9.66 ref30.11 ref
The Tropical Brim8.66 ref31.88 ref

Possible Assassin outputs

Trade-up odds for 10 inputs from this collection—not case-opening odds.

ItemOddsNon-Strange bidStrange bidMarkets
Control Patrol25.0%32.55 ref1 key + 49.00 ref
Fire Marshal25.0%33.44 ref1 key + 53.44 ref
Free Mann's Fashion25.0%3 keys + 3.33 ref8 keys + 17.00 ref
Tuxedo Royale25.0%2 keys + 14.00 ref5 keys + 37.33 ref

Summer 2024 Cosmetics Collection route

Assassin→Elite

Load non-StrangeLoad Strange

Non-Strange

unique
10× cost5 keys + 13.85 ref
Expected value6 keys + 26.83 ref
Expected P/L+1 key + 12.98 ref
ROI23.0%
Win chance50%
Cheapest quoted inputControl Patrol33.55 ref each

Strange

strange
10× cost17 keys + 35.19 ref
Expected value18 keys + 49.88 ref
Expected P/L+1 key + 14.69 ref
ROI7.0%
Win chance50%
Cheapest quoted inputControl Patrol1 key + 48.55 ref each

Eligible Assassin inputs

ItemNon-Strange askStrange askMarkets
Control Patrol33.55 ref1 key + 48.55 ref
Fire MarshalNo eligible quote1 key + 56.55 ref
Free Mann's Fashion3 keys + 6.00 refNo eligible quote
Tuxedo Royale2 keys + 21.55 ref5 keys + 53.22 ref

Possible Elite outputs

Trade-up odds for 10 inputs from this collection—not case-opening odds.

ItemOddsNon-Strange bidStrange bidMarkets
Botler 200050.0%3 keys + 21.00 ref20 keys + 3.55 ref
Hazardous Environment Vest50.0%9 keys + 32.66 ref17 keys + 31.88 ref

How to trade up to Summer 2024 Cosmetics Collection items

How to trade up to Crook's Cap

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Summer 2024 Cosmetics Collection for a 14.29% chance of Crook's Cap, one of 7 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 7.14%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Crook's Cap trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Justice Johns

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Summer 2024 Cosmetics Collection for a 14.29% chance of Justice Johns, one of 7 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 7.14%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Justice Johns trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Scorched Earth Stompers

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Summer 2024 Cosmetics Collection for a 14.29% chance of Scorched Earth Stompers, one of 7 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 7.14%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Scorched Earth Stompers trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Sneaky Blinder

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Summer 2024 Cosmetics Collection for a 14.29% chance of Sneaky Blinder, one of 7 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 7.14%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Sneaky Blinder trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Tanker's Top

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Summer 2024 Cosmetics Collection for a 14.29% chance of Tanker's Top, one of 7 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 7.14%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Tanker's Top trade-up odds →

How to trade up to The Big Star

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Summer 2024 Cosmetics Collection for a 14.29% chance of The Big Star, one of 7 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 7.14%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate The Big Star trade-up odds →

How to trade up to The Tropical Brim

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Summer 2024 Cosmetics Collection for a 14.29% chance of The Tropical Brim, one of 7 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 7.14%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate The Tropical Brim trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Control Patrol

Use ten eligible Commando inputs from Summer 2024 Cosmetics Collection for a 25.00% chance of Control Patrol, one of 4 Assassin outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 12.50%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Control Patrol trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Fire Marshal

Use ten eligible Commando inputs from Summer 2024 Cosmetics Collection for a 25.00% chance of Fire Marshal, one of 4 Assassin outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 12.50%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Fire Marshal trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Free Mann's Fashion

Use ten eligible Commando inputs from Summer 2024 Cosmetics Collection for a 25.00% chance of Free Mann's Fashion, one of 4 Assassin outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 12.50%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Free Mann's Fashion trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Tuxedo Royale

Use ten eligible Commando inputs from Summer 2024 Cosmetics Collection for a 25.00% chance of Tuxedo Royale, one of 4 Assassin outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 12.50%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Tuxedo Royale trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Botler 2000

Use ten eligible Assassin inputs from Summer 2024 Cosmetics Collection for a 50.00% chance of Botler 2000, one of 2 Elite outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 25.00%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Botler 2000 trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Hazardous Environment Vest

Use ten eligible Assassin inputs from Summer 2024 Cosmetics Collection for a 50.00% chance of Hazardous Environment Vest, one of 2 Elite outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 25.00%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Hazardous Environment Vest trade-up odds →

How Summer 2024 Cosmetics Collection odds work

With ten Summer 2024 Cosmetics Collection inputs, every next-rarity item shown in the applicable output table has an equal chance. The number of input item names does not change those single-collection odds.

In a mixed contract, each individual input contributes 10% to its collection. Five inputs from this collection therefore assign 50% of the contract to this collection, split evenly among its possible outputs.

Strange and non-Strange items cannot be combined in one contract. Their prices and profitability can differ substantially, so this page calculates them separately.

Market depth, price movement and seller availability are not modeled. Always open the marketplace links and confirm that ten clean, eligible inputs can actually be purchased before trading.

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