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TF2 collection guide · Saved market observations

Jungle Jackpot Collection Trade-Up Guide

Jungle Jackpot Collection contains 11 War Paint designs across 4 grades, from Mercenary to Elite. Its highest-grade item is Park Pigmented War Paint. Compare the Assassin-to-Elite trade-up below, including the individual odds of reaching each Elite output.

11Items
3Routes
LoadingDataset state
Data snapshot . Loading the dataset does not recheck every listing; individual quotes can still be missing or stale.

Steam pricing is temporarily paused. Prices use backpack.tf only.

Jungle Jackpot Collection: choose your target tier

Start with the item you want, then choose the grade immediately below it. Jungle Jackpot Collection offers 3 adjacent-grade routes. Each row below assumes ten eligible inputs from this collection, with one result per contract; these are not case-opening probabilities.

10 Mercenary inputs → 1 Commando output

Choose among 5 input item names. Each of the 3 outputs has a 33.33% chance. With five inputs from this collection and five compatible inputs from another collection, each of these targets has a 16.67% chance.

Commando targets

Compare Mercenary inputs ↓Open this tier in calculator →

10 Commando inputs → 1 Assassin output

Choose among 3 input item names. Each of the 2 outputs has a 50.00% chance. With five inputs from this collection and five compatible inputs from another collection, each of these targets has a 25.00% chance.

Assassin targets

Compare Commando inputs ↓Open this tier in calculator →

10 Assassin inputs → 1 Elite output

Choose among 2 input item names. Each of the 1 outputs has a 100.00% chance. With five inputs from this collection and five compatible inputs from another collection, each of these targets has a 50.00% chance.

Elite targets

Compare Assassin inputs ↓Open this tier in calculator →

Buying a higher-priced input in the same grade does not improve these single-collection odds. Price and quality still matter for cost: Strange and Non-Strange cannot be mixed, and this guide’s market comparison uses Factory New wear. Read the odds guide or learn how expected profit differs from a guaranteed return.

Jungle Jackpot War Paint Case

Container information · Series #109

Jungle Jackpot War Paint Case

Jungle Jackpot War Paint Case contains items from the Jungle Jackpot Collection. The case was introduced on 2017-10-10. Requires a Jungle Jackpot War Paint Key to open.

View official Steam contents and case details ↗

All Jungle Jackpot Collection Items

Base collection items, grouped by grade. Special Unusual effects and global bonus drops are separate; see the official case listing for current details.

Assumed base-drop model: 80% Mercenary, 16% Commando, 3.2% Assassin, 0.8% Elite. Each grade is split equally among its items. These user-specified assumptions exclude special drops and are separate from trade-up odds. Displayed percentages are rounded; calculations use full precision.

Grade Odds · case opening

Mercenary5 items

80.00%

Commando3 items

16.00%

Assassin2 items

3.20%

Elite1 items

0.80%

Individual Item Odds · case opening

Mercenary Grade
  • Anodized Aloha War Paint

    Mercenary · Chance: 16.00%

  • Bamboo Brushed War Paint

    Mercenary · Chance: 16.00%

  • Leopard Printed War Paint

    Mercenary · Chance: 16.00%

  • Mannana Peeled War Paint

    Mercenary · Chance: 16.00%

  • Tiger Buffed War Paint

    Mercenary · Chance: 16.00%

Commando Grade
  • Croc Dusted War Paint

    Commando · Chance: 5.33%

  • Macaw Masked War Paint

    Commando · Chance: 5.33%

  • Piña Polished War Paint

    Commando · Chance: 5.33%

Assassin Grade
  • Sax Waxed War Paint

    Assassin · Chance: 1.60%

  • Yeti Coated War Paint

    Assassin · Chance: 1.60%

Elite Grade
  • Park Pigmented War Paint

    Elite · Chance: 0.80%

War Paint and decorated-weapon quotes must match both quality and wear. This guide compares Factory New only; select Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn or Battle Scarred in the calculator. Steam pricing is temporarily paused. Backpack.tf wear-specific coverage is limited; missing quotes remain unavailable. A collection’s output wear follows that collection’s inputs, not another collection’s wear.

Available trade-up routes

Lowest clean sell listing in; highest clean buy order out.

Jungle Jackpot Collection route

Mercenary→Commando

Load non-StrangeLoad Strange

Non-Strange

unique
10× costIncomplete quotes
Expected valueIncomplete quotes
Expected P/LIncomplete quotes
ROIIncomplete quotes
Win chanceIncomplete quotes
Cheapest quoted inputNo eligible quoteQuote unavailable each

Strange

strange
10× costIncomplete quotes
Expected valueIncomplete quotes
Expected P/LIncomplete quotes
ROIIncomplete quotes
Win chanceIncomplete quotes
Cheapest quoted inputNo eligible quoteQuote unavailable each

Eligible Mercenary inputs

ItemNon-Strange askStrange askMarkets
Anodized Aloha War PaintSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed
Bamboo Brushed War PaintSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed
Leopard Printed War PaintSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed
Mannana Peeled War PaintSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed
Tiger Buffed War PaintSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed

Possible Commando outputs

Trade-up odds for 10 inputs from this collection—not case-opening odds.

ItemOddsNon-Strange bidStrange bidMarkets
Croc Dusted War Paint33.3%Buy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewedBuy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewed
Macaw Masked War Paint33.3%Buy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewedBuy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewed
Piña Polished War Paint33.3%Buy order scan pendingChecks when viewed2 keys + 48.22 refChecks when viewed

Jungle Jackpot Collection route

Commando→Assassin

Load non-StrangeLoad Strange

Non-Strange

unique
10× costIncomplete quotes
Expected valueIncomplete quotes
Expected P/LIncomplete quotes
ROIIncomplete quotes
Win chanceIncomplete quotes
Cheapest quoted inputNo eligible quoteQuote unavailable each

Strange

strange
10× costIncomplete quotes
Expected valueIncomplete quotes
Expected P/LIncomplete quotes
ROIIncomplete quotes
Win chanceIncomplete quotes
Cheapest quoted inputNo eligible quoteQuote unavailable each

Eligible Commando inputs

ItemNon-Strange askStrange askMarkets
Croc Dusted War PaintSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed
Macaw Masked War PaintSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed
Piña Polished War PaintSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed

Possible Assassin outputs

Trade-up odds for 10 inputs from this collection—not case-opening odds.

ItemOddsNon-Strange bidStrange bidMarkets
Sax Waxed War Paint50.0%Buy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewedBuy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewed
Yeti Coated War Paint50.0%Buy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewedBuy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewed

Jungle Jackpot Collection route

Assassin→Elite

Load non-StrangeLoad Strange

Non-Strange

unique
10× costIncomplete quotes
Expected valueIncomplete quotes
Expected P/LIncomplete quotes
ROIIncomplete quotes
Win chanceIncomplete quotes
Cheapest quoted inputNo eligible quoteQuote unavailable each

Strange

strange
10× costIncomplete quotes
Expected valueIncomplete quotes
Expected P/LIncomplete quotes
ROIIncomplete quotes
Win chanceIncomplete quotes
Cheapest quoted inputNo eligible quoteQuote unavailable each

Eligible Assassin inputs

ItemNon-Strange askStrange askMarkets
Sax Waxed War PaintSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed
Yeti Coated War PaintSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewedSell listing scan pendingChecks when viewed

Possible Elite outputs

Trade-up odds for 10 inputs from this collection—not case-opening odds.

ItemOddsNon-Strange bidStrange bidMarkets
Park Pigmented War Paint100.0%Buy order quote stale — awaiting refreshChecks when viewed160 keys + 44.00 refChecks when viewed

How to trade up to Jungle Jackpot Collection items

How to trade up to Croc Dusted War Paint

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Jungle Jackpot Collection for a 33.33% chance of Croc Dusted War Paint, one of 3 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 16.67%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Croc Dusted War Paint trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Macaw Masked War Paint

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Jungle Jackpot Collection for a 33.33% chance of Macaw Masked War Paint, one of 3 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 16.67%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Macaw Masked War Paint trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Piña Polished War Paint

Use ten eligible Mercenary inputs from Jungle Jackpot Collection for a 33.33% chance of Piña Polished War Paint, one of 3 Commando outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 16.67%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Piña Polished War Paint trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Sax Waxed War Paint

Use ten eligible Commando inputs from Jungle Jackpot Collection for a 50.00% chance of Sax Waxed War Paint, one of 2 Assassin outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 25.00%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Sax Waxed War Paint trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Yeti Coated War Paint

Use ten eligible Commando inputs from Jungle Jackpot Collection for a 50.00% chance of Yeti Coated War Paint, one of 2 Assassin outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 25.00%. Neither recipe guarantees this item.

Calculate Yeti Coated War Paint trade-up odds →

How to trade up to Park Pigmented War Paint

Use ten eligible Assassin inputs from Jungle Jackpot Collection for a 100.00% chance of Park Pigmented War Paint, one of 1 Elite outputs. With five inputs from this collection in a compatible mixed contract, that chance becomes 50.00%. The ten-input single-collection recipe guarantees the item type, not its selling price or a profit; the mixed recipe does not guarantee the item.

Calculate Park Pigmented War Paint trade-up odds →

How Jungle Jackpot Collection odds work

With ten Jungle Jackpot Collection inputs, every next-rarity item shown in the applicable output table has an equal chance. The number of input item names does not change those single-collection odds.

In a mixed contract, each individual input contributes 10% to its collection. Five inputs from this collection therefore assign 50% of the contract to this collection, split evenly among its possible outputs.

Strange and non-Strange items cannot be combined in one contract. Their prices and profitability can differ substantially, so this page calculates them separately.

Market depth, price movement and seller availability are not modeled. Always open the marketplace links and confirm that ten clean, eligible inputs can actually be purchased before trading.

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